Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers project a September 2 high in Buenos Aires near 20–22°C, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air ahead of an approaching frontal system, with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest volume on 23°C (41.5%) and 22°C (22%), while the 24°C slice (21.5%) reflects slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical early-September averages hover around 18°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly; traders will watch the next model runs and any rapid changes in low-level wind direction or cloud cover for shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
23°C 44%
22°C 22%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
22%
23°C
44%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 44%
22°C 22%
24°C 22%
21°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
22%
23°C
44%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers project a September 2 high in Buenos Aires near 20–22°C, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air ahead of an approaching frontal system, with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest volume on 23°C (41.5%) and 22°C (22%), while the 24°C slice (21.5%) reflects slight upside risk from model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical early-September averages hover around 18°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly; traders will watch the next model runs and any rapid changes in low-level wind direction or cloud cover for shifts in implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions