Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate a highest temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 1 most likely between 26–28°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms or showers are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress daytime warming, while southerly winds around 5 m/s advect moist air from the Yellow Sea. These conditions follow recent heavy rainfall across the region, maintaining stable boundary-layer temperatures close to the seasonal average of about 25–27°C for early September. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift odds if clearer skies develop.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate a highest temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 1 most likely between 26–28°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms or showers are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress daytime warming, while southerly winds around 5 m/s advect moist air from the Yellow Sea. These conditions follow recent heavy rainfall across the region, maintaining stable boundary-layer temperatures close to the seasonal average of about 25–27°C for early September. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift odds if clearer skies develop.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions