Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 26–27°C in Munich on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This above-average outcome (relative to the 22.6°C climatological mean) stems from stable late-summer atmospheric conditions that favor moderate daytime warming without significant cloud cover or frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability for 27°C and 25% for 26°C, aligns closely with these runs, while lower odds on 28°C+ or sub-25°C reflect model agreement and limited upside potential from further intensification. Final readings will be determined by official observations the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日慕尼黑最高溫度?
27°C 39%
26°C 25%
28°C 17%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
39%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 39%
26°C 25%
28°C 17%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
39%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 26–27°C in Munich on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This above-average outcome (relative to the 22.6°C climatological mean) stems from stable late-summer atmospheric conditions that favor moderate daytime warming without significant cloud cover or frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability for 27°C and 25% for 26°C, aligns closely with these runs, while lower odds on 28°C+ or sub-25°C reflect model agreement and limited upside potential from further intensification. Final readings will be determined by official observations the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions