**Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are positioning Wellington for a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C on 31 August.** Recent model runs and official guidance from MetService and international forecasters show a mild northwesterly airstream continuing into Monday, with highs forecast at 15 °C (Met Office, NZCity) to 14–15 °C (WeatherBug, WindBorne), modestly above the late-August climatological average of ~12–13 °C. Strong winds (20–25 kt gusting higher) will enhance mixing and limit overnight cooling while allowing greater daytime solar heating under reduced cloud cover. No significant cold front or southerly change is expected until after the observation window, keeping the distribution of possible maxima tightly clustered around 15–17 °C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings on 30 August remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月31日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
16°C 56%
17°C 29%
15°C 12%
18°C 2.4%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
56%
17°C
29%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 56%
17°C 29%
15°C 12%
18°C 2.4%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
11°C or below
$186 交易量
<1%
12°C
$213 交易量
<1%
13°C
$288 交易量
1%
14°C
$341 交易量
2%
15°C
$1,705 交易量
12%
16°C
$2,505 交易量
56%
17°C
$773 交易量
29%
18°C
$130 交易量
2%
19°C
$209 交易量
<1%
20°C
$196 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$186 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are positioning Wellington for a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C on 31 August.** Recent model runs and official guidance from MetService and international forecasters show a mild northwesterly airstream continuing into Monday, with highs forecast at 15 °C (Met Office, NZCity) to 14–15 °C (WeatherBug, WindBorne), modestly above the late-August climatological average of ~12–13 °C. Strong winds (20–25 kt gusting higher) will enhance mixing and limit overnight cooling while allowing greater daytime solar heating under reduced cloud cover. No significant cold front or southerly change is expected until after the observation window, keeping the distribution of possible maxima tightly clustered around 15–17 °C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings on 30 August remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,731結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are positioning Wellington for a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C on 31 August.** Recent model runs and official guidance from MetService and international forecasters show a mild northwesterly airstream continuing into Monday, with highs forecast at 15 °C (Met Office, NZCity) to 14–15 °C (WeatherBug, WindBorne), modestly above the late-August climatological average of ~12–13 °C. Strong winds (20–25 kt gusting higher) will enhance mixing and limit overnight cooling while allowing greater daytime solar heating under reduced cloud cover. No significant cold front or southerly change is expected until after the observation window, keeping the distribution of possible maxima tightly clustered around 15–17 °C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings on 30 August remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,731結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are positioning Wellington for a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C on 31 August.** Recent model runs and official guidance from MetService and international forecasters show a mild northwesterly airstream continuing into Monday, with highs forecast at 15 °C (Met Office, NZCity) to 14–15 °C (WeatherBug, WindBorne), modestly above the late-August climatological average of ~12–13 °C. Strong winds (20–25 kt gusting higher) will enhance mixing and limit overnight cooling while allowing greater daytime solar heating under reduced cloud cover. No significant cold front or southerly change is expected until after the observation window, keeping the distribution of possible maxima tightly clustered around 15–17 °C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings on 30 August remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions