Recent weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office, local Italian services, and global forecasts points to a highest temperature of 29–31°C in Milan on August 29, driven by light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity under a weakening high-pressure system. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C rather than extremes, as cloud cover and scattered moisture limit surface heating compared to clearer anticyclonic days earlier in the week. Historical late-August climatology for the Po Valley supports highs in this narrow range, with minimal risk of 32°C+ or sub-28°C outcomes given stable steering patterns and forecast agreement. Trader positioning, with 30°C at 44% implied probability, reflects this tight clustering of updated model runs ahead of the day’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日米蘭的最高溫度?
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
44%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 16%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
44%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office, local Italian services, and global forecasts points to a highest temperature of 29–31°C in Milan on August 29, driven by light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity under a weakening high-pressure system. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C rather than extremes, as cloud cover and scattered moisture limit surface heating compared to clearer anticyclonic days earlier in the week. Historical late-August climatology for the Po Valley supports highs in this narrow range, with minimal risk of 32°C+ or sub-28°C outcomes given stable steering patterns and forecast agreement. Trader positioning, with 30°C at 44% implied probability, reflects this tight clustering of updated model runs ahead of the day’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions