Recent forecasts from European models and local stations indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C overnight into early August 30 under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy. This setup favors modest radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to retain heat, aligning with the market's strong 85.5% implied probability for a 19°C low. Prior variability with scattered showers has given way to stable high pressure, reducing downside risk to 17°C or below while keeping warmer outcomes unlikely given observed trends and climatological baselines around 20°C for the date. Updated model runs and station data through the evening will refine the final reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月29日米蘭的最低溫度？
17°C 8%
18°C 4%
16°C 1.8%
15°C 1.0%
$2,538 交易量
$2,538 交易量
2026-08-29
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 8%
18°C 4%
16°C 1.8%
15°C 1.0%
$2,538 交易量
$2,538 交易量
2026-08-29
13°C or below
$353 交易量
<1%
14°C
$109 交易量
<1%
15°C
$139 交易量
1%
16°C
$581 交易量
2%
17°C
$134 交易量
8%
18°C
$247 交易量
4%
19°C
$631 交易量
-
20°C
$98 交易量
<1%
21°C
$88 交易量
<1%
22°C
$108 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$50 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and local stations indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C overnight into early August 30 under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy. This setup favors modest radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to retain heat, aligning with the market's strong 85.5% implied probability for a 19°C low. Prior variability with scattered showers has given way to stable high pressure, reducing downside risk to 17°C or below while keeping warmer outcomes unlikely given observed trends and climatological baselines around 20°C for the date. Updated model runs and station data through the evening will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,538結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and local stations indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C overnight into early August 30 under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy. This setup favors modest radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to retain heat, aligning with the market's strong 85.5% implied probability for a 19°C low. Prior variability with scattered showers has given way to stable high pressure, reducing downside risk to 17°C or below while keeping warmer outcomes unlikely given observed trends and climatological baselines around 20°C for the date. Updated model runs and station data through the evening will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,538結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from European models and local stations indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C overnight into early August 30 under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions over northern Italy. This setup favors modest radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to retain heat, aligning with the market's strong 85.5% implied probability for a 19°C low. Prior variability with scattered showers has given way to stable high pressure, reducing downside risk to 17°C or below while keeping warmer outcomes unlikely given observed trends and climatological baselines around 20°C for the date. Updated model runs and station data through the evening will refine the final reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions