Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office, iLMeteo, and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows near 22°C in Milan on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where typical minima hover around 21–23°C absent stronger advection of cooler air. However, market-implied odds leading with 16°C or below reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential model divergences in boundary-layer temperatures, subtle shifts in steering patterns, or localized urban cooling effects that could push the daily minimum lower than consensus guidance. Upcoming model updates and observational data from Milan Linate will likely refine these probabilities as the day approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月31日米蘭的最低溫度？
18°C 46%
16°C or below 43%
19°C 29%
20°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
16°C or below
43%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
18°C 46%
16°C or below 43%
19°C 29%
20°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
16°C or below
$43 交易量
43%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$2 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
29%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
25%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
8%
25°C
$5 交易量
1%
26°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office, iLMeteo, and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows near 22°C in Milan on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where typical minima hover around 21–23°C absent stronger advection of cooler air. However, market-implied odds leading with 16°C or below reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential model divergences in boundary-layer temperatures, subtle shifts in steering patterns, or localized urban cooling effects that could push the daily minimum lower than consensus guidance. Upcoming model updates and observational data from Milan Linate will likely refine these probabilities as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$56結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office, iLMeteo, and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows near 22°C in Milan on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where typical minima hover around 21–23°C absent stronger advection of cooler air. However, market-implied odds leading with 16°C or below reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential model divergences in boundary-layer temperatures, subtle shifts in steering patterns, or localized urban cooling effects that could push the daily minimum lower than consensus guidance. Upcoming model updates and observational data from Milan Linate will likely refine these probabilities as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like the Met Office, iLMeteo, and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows near 22°C in Milan on August 31 under clear to mostly sunny conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where typical minima hover around 21–23°C absent stronger advection of cooler air. However, market-implied odds leading with 16°C or below reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential model divergences in boundary-layer temperatures, subtle shifts in steering patterns, or localized urban cooling effects that could push the daily minimum lower than consensus guidance. Upcoming model updates and observational data from Milan Linate will likely refine these probabilities as the day approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions