Official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models show a maximum of 22–23°C in London on August 30 under changeable westerly flow, with scattered showers, variable cloud, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting surface heating. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where Atlantic influences typically cap daytime peaks near seasonal averages of 20–22°C absent strong high pressure or southerly advection. Recent model runs have remained consistent without significant warming signals, supporting trader consensus around 22°C (48.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful weight to 23°C and 21°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日倫敦的最高溫度?
22°C 49%
23°C 33%
21°C 17%
20°C 3%
$35,270 交易量
$35,270 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
17%
22°C
49%
23°C
33%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 49%
23°C 33%
21°C 17%
20°C 3%
$35,270 交易量
$35,270 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
17%
22°C
49%
23°C
33%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models show a maximum of 22–23°C in London on August 30 under changeable westerly flow, with scattered showers, variable cloud, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting surface heating. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where Atlantic influences typically cap daytime peaks near seasonal averages of 20–22°C absent strong high pressure or southerly advection. Recent model runs have remained consistent without significant warming signals, supporting trader consensus around 22°C (48.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome while assigning meaningful weight to 23°C and 21°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions