**Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29" market strongly favors 21°C at near-certainty levels because official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and local stations recorded that exact maximum during the afternoon hours.** Forecasts from SMN and Meteored had initially projected a high near 18°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and a minimum around 7–9°C, consistent with typical late-winter patterns in the region. However, actual readings showed stronger afternoon warming, likely driven by a temporary northerly wind shift and partial clearing that allowed temperatures to climb to 21°C before cooling overnight. This outcome aligns with the upper end of some model runs and historical variability for the date, where afternoon maxima can exceed climatological averages by several degrees under favorable steering patterns. The market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified station data rather than pre-event forecasts. Only an official post-event correction to the primary observing network or a redefinition of the measurement window could realistically alter the 21°C resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月29日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$57,798 交易量
$57,798 交易量
2026-08-29
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$57,798 交易量
$57,798 交易量
2026-08-29
14°C or below
$2,035 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,416 交易量
<1%
16°C
$2,178 交易量
<1%
17°C
$3,225 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,031 交易量
<1%
19°C
$5,789 交易量
<1%
20°C
$7,722 交易量
<1%
21°C
$14,099 交易量
100%
22°C
$9,183 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,609 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,511 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29" market strongly favors 21°C at near-certainty levels because official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and local stations recorded that exact maximum during the afternoon hours.**
Forecasts from SMN and Meteored had initially projected a high near 18°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and a minimum around 7–9°C, consistent with typical late-winter patterns in the region. However, actual readings showed stronger afternoon warming, likely driven by a temporary northerly wind shift and partial clearing that allowed temperatures to climb to 21°C before cooling overnight. This outcome aligns with the upper end of some model runs and historical variability for the date, where afternoon maxima can exceed climatological averages by several degrees under favorable steering patterns.
The market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified station data rather than pre-event forecasts. Only an official post-event correction to the primary observing network or a redefinition of the measurement window could realistically alter the 21°C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$57,798結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29" market strongly favors 21°C at near-certainty levels because official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and local stations recorded that exact maximum during the afternoon hours.**
Forecasts from SMN and Meteored had initially projected a high near 18°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and a minimum around 7–9°C, consistent with typical late-winter patterns in the region. However, actual readings showed stronger afternoon warming, likely driven by a temporary northerly wind shift and partial clearing that allowed temperatures to climb to 21°C before cooling overnight. This outcome aligns with the upper end of some model runs and historical variability for the date, where afternoon maxima can exceed climatological averages by several degrees under favorable steering patterns.
The market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified station data rather than pre-event forecasts. Only an official post-event correction to the primary observing network or a redefinition of the measurement window could realistically alter the 21°C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,798結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET**Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29" market strongly favors 21°C at near-certainty levels because official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and local stations recorded that exact maximum during the afternoon hours.** Forecasts from SMN and Meteored had initially projected a high near 18°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and a minimum around 7–9°C, consistent with typical late-winter patterns in the region. However, actual readings showed stronger afternoon warming, likely driven by a temporary northerly wind shift and partial clearing that allowed temperatures to climb to 21°C before cooling overnight. This outcome aligns with the upper end of some model runs and historical variability for the date, where afternoon maxima can exceed climatological averages by several degrees under favorable steering patterns. The market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game aggregation of verified station data rather than pre-event forecasts. Only an official post-event correction to the primary observing network or a redefinition of the measurement window could realistically alter the 21°C resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions