Recent official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 3°C for Buenos Aires on August 29, consistent with the 79% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies, light easterly winds, and radiational cooling overnight under stable high pressure favor this level, while suburban stations could briefly dip lower. Historical August minima average 8–11°C, so current conditions represent a modest cold anomaly driven by a recent polar air intrusion. Updated model runs show limited further cooling potential before sunrise, keeping 2°C-or-below odds at 32% and rendering higher thresholds like 4°C or above negligible at under 1% each.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
8月29日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
2°C或以下 64%
4°C 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,376 交易量
$2,376 交易量
2026-08-29
2°C或以下
64%
3°C
-
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或以上
<1%
2°C或以下 64%
4°C 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,376 交易量
$2,376 交易量
2026-08-29
2°C或以下
$85 交易量
64%
3°C
$404 交易量
-
4°C
$356 交易量
1%
5°C
$274 交易量
<1%
6°C
$205 交易量
<1%
7°C
$91 交易量
<1%
8°C
$79 交易量
<1%
9°C
$107 交易量
<1%
10°C
$151 交易量
<1%
11°C
$312 交易量
<1%
12°C或以上
$312 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 3°C for Buenos Aires on August 29, consistent with the 79% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies, light easterly winds, and radiational cooling overnight under stable high pressure favor this level, while suburban stations could briefly dip lower. Historical August minima average 8–11°C, so current conditions represent a modest cold anomaly driven by a recent polar air intrusion. Updated model runs show limited further cooling potential before sunrise, keeping 2°C-or-below odds at 32% and rendering higher thresholds like 4°C or above negligible at under 1% each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,376結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 3°C for Buenos Aires on August 29, consistent with the 79% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies, light easterly winds, and radiational cooling overnight under stable high pressure favor this level, while suburban stations could briefly dip lower. Historical August minima average 8–11°C, so current conditions represent a modest cold anomaly driven by a recent polar air intrusion. Updated model runs show limited further cooling potential before sunrise, keeping 2°C-or-below odds at 32% and rendering higher thresholds like 4°C or above negligible at under 1% each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,376結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 3°C for Buenos Aires on August 29, consistent with the 79% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies, light easterly winds, and radiational cooling overnight under stable high pressure favor this level, while suburban stations could briefly dip lower. Historical August minima average 8–11°C, so current conditions represent a modest cold anomaly driven by a recent polar air intrusion. Updated model runs show limited further cooling potential before sunrise, keeping 2°C-or-below odds at 32% and rendering higher thresholds like 4°C or above negligible at under 1% each.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions