Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 20–22°C on August 29, with multiple hourly models and observations peaking near 21°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and light southerly winds. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs and near-real-time station data, underpins the market's 97.5% implied probability for 21°C as the daily maximum. Realistic challenges include stronger afternoon clearing that could briefly push readings to 22°C or more persistent rain and thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap temperatures at 20°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions and pressure readings near 755–756 mm Hg limit those deviations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月29日莫斯科的最高溫度？
21°C 99%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$35,094 交易量
$35,094 交易量
2026-08-29
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$35,094 交易量
$35,094 交易量
2026-08-29
14°C or below
$301 交易量
<1%
15°C
$5,211 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,117 交易量
<1%
17°C
$766 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,342 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,069 交易量
<1%
20°C
$7,079 交易量
<1%
21°C
$5,123 交易量
99%
22°C
$3,735 交易量
1%
23°C
$4,886 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$2,465 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 20–22°C on August 29, with multiple hourly models and observations peaking near 21°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and light southerly winds. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs and near-real-time station data, underpins the market's 97.5% implied probability for 21°C as the daily maximum. Realistic challenges include stronger afternoon clearing that could briefly push readings to 22°C or more persistent rain and thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap temperatures at 20°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions and pressure readings near 755–756 mm Hg limit those deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$35,094結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 20–22°C on August 29, with multiple hourly models and observations peaking near 21°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and light southerly winds. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs and near-real-time station data, underpins the market's 97.5% implied probability for 21°C as the daily maximum. Realistic challenges include stronger afternoon clearing that could briefly push readings to 22°C or more persistent rain and thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap temperatures at 20°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions and pressure readings near 755–756 mm Hg limit those deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,094結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs in Moscow of 20–22°C on August 29, with multiple hourly models and observations peaking near 21°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and light southerly winds. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs and near-real-time station data, underpins the market's 97.5% implied probability for 21°C as the daily maximum. Realistic challenges include stronger afternoon clearing that could briefly push readings to 22°C or more persistent rain and thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap temperatures at 20°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions and pressure readings near 755–756 mm Hg limit those deviations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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