**Trader consensus at 99.5% for a 30°C high on August 29, 2026, rests on real-time observations and short-range model runs showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy to overcast skies, northeast winds of 3–5 levels (with gusts), and humidity around 60–70%, which has capped temperatures after the end of the prolonged Sanfu heat period. Multiple forecasts converge on a high of 30–31°C (roughly 86–88°F), consistent with live readings hovering in the upper 20s°C to low 30s°C during peak afternoon hours. Official Wuhan meteorological data, which typically resolves such markets, aligns with this range rather than the higher 33–36°C values seen earlier in the month. A rapid late-day surge from unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow could push the reading above 30°C, but persistent cloud cover and onshore flow make that outcome unlikely at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日武漢氣溫最高?
30°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,968 交易量
$43,968 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,968 交易量
$43,968 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus at 99.5% for a 30°C high on August 29, 2026, rests on real-time observations and short-range model runs showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy to overcast skies, northeast winds of 3–5 levels (with gusts), and humidity around 60–70%, which has capped temperatures after the end of the prolonged Sanfu heat period. Multiple forecasts converge on a high of 30–31°C (roughly 86–88°F), consistent with live readings hovering in the upper 20s°C to low 30s°C during peak afternoon hours. Official Wuhan meteorological data, which typically resolves such markets, aligns with this range rather than the higher 33–36°C values seen earlier in the month. A rapid late-day surge from unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow could push the reading above 30°C, but persistent cloud cover and onshore flow make that outcome unlikely at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions