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icon for 8月29日武漢氣溫最高?

8月29日武漢氣溫最高?

icon for 8月29日武漢氣溫最高?

8月29日武漢氣溫最高?

30°C 99.8%

27°C or below <1%

28°C <1%

29°C <1%

Polymarket

$43,968 交易量

30°C 99.8%

27°C or below <1%

28°C <1%

29°C <1%

Polymarket

$43,968 交易量

27°C or below

$4,366 交易量

<1%

28°C

$6,096 交易量

<1%

29°C

$4,301 交易量

<1%

30°C

$4,094 交易量

100%

31°C

$2,995 交易量

<1%

32°C

$3,703 交易量

<1%

33°C

$6,041 交易量

<1%

34°C

$3,911 交易量

<1%

35°C

$2,356 交易量

<1%

36°C

$2,847 交易量

<1%

37°C or higher

$3,257 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.5% for a 30°C high on August 29, 2026, rests on real-time observations and short-range model runs showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy to overcast skies, northeast winds of 3–5 levels (with gusts), and humidity around 60–70%, which has capped temperatures after the end of the prolonged Sanfu heat period. Multiple forecasts converge on a high of 30–31°C (roughly 86–88°F), consistent with live readings hovering in the upper 20s°C to low 30s°C during peak afternoon hours. Official Wuhan meteorological data, which typically resolves such markets, aligns with this range rather than the higher 33–36°C values seen earlier in the month. A rapid late-day surge from unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow could push the reading above 30°C, but persistent cloud cover and onshore flow make that outcome unlikely at this stage.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,968
結束日期
2026-08-29
市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.5% for a 30°C high on August 29, 2026, rests on real-time observations and short-range model runs showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy to overcast skies, northeast winds of 3–5 levels (with gusts), and humidity around 60–70%, which has capped temperatures after the end of the prolonged Sanfu heat period. Multiple forecasts converge on a high of 30–31°C (roughly 86–88°F), consistent with live readings hovering in the upper 20s°C to low 30s°C during peak afternoon hours. Official Wuhan meteorological data, which typically resolves such markets, aligns with this range rather than the higher 33–36°C values seen earlier in the month. A rapid late-day surge from unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow could push the reading above 30°C, but persistent cloud cover and onshore flow make that outcome unlikely at this stage.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,968
結束日期
2026-08-29
市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月29日武漢氣溫最高?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30°C" at 100%, followed by "27°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月29日武漢氣溫最高?" has generated $44K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月29日武漢氣溫最高?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月29日武漢氣溫最高?" is "30°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月29日武漢氣溫最高?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.