Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Yr.no point to a daily maximum near 30°C in Qingdao on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and limited precipitation that allow daytime heating while the adjacent Yellow Sea provides some moderation. Multiple short-range model runs as of August 29 show highs clustered between 28–31°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and recent high-pressure influence suppressing stronger cooling or heating extremes. Trader consensus around the 29–31°C outcomes reflects this model agreement and low expected variability in the final 48-hour window, though fresh observational data or updated runs could still nudge the precise peak within that narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日青島氣溫最高？
8月31日青島氣溫最高？
30°C 42%
29°C 28%
31°C 17%
32°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
28%
30°C
42%
31°C
17%
32°C
11%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 42%
29°C 28%
31°C 17%
32°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$11 交易量
7%
29°C
$26 交易量
28%
30°C
$123 交易量
42%
31°C
$38 交易量
17%
32°C
$75 交易量
11%
33°C
$26 交易量
<1%
34°C
$57 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$321 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Yr.no point to a daily maximum near 30°C in Qingdao on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and limited precipitation that allow daytime heating while the adjacent Yellow Sea provides some moderation. Multiple short-range model runs as of August 29 show highs clustered between 28–31°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and recent high-pressure influence suppressing stronger cooling or heating extremes. Trader consensus around the 29–31°C outcomes reflects this model agreement and low expected variability in the final 48-hour window, though fresh observational data or updated runs could still nudge the precise peak within that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$676結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Yr.no point to a daily maximum near 30°C in Qingdao on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and limited precipitation that allow daytime heating while the adjacent Yellow Sea provides some moderation. Multiple short-range model runs as of August 29 show highs clustered between 28–31°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and recent high-pressure influence suppressing stronger cooling or heating extremes. Trader consensus around the 29–31°C outcomes reflects this model agreement and low expected variability in the final 48-hour window, though fresh observational data or updated runs could still nudge the precise peak within that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$676結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Yr.no point to a daily maximum near 30°C in Qingdao on August 31, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and limited precipitation that allow daytime heating while the adjacent Yellow Sea provides some moderation. Multiple short-range model runs as of August 29 show highs clustered between 28–31°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and recent high-pressure influence suppressing stronger cooling or heating extremes. Trader consensus around the 29–31°C outcomes reflects this model agreement and low expected variability in the final 48-hour window, though fresh observational data or updated runs could still nudge the precise peak within that narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions