Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 29 converge on a daily maximum near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and possible scattered drizzle. High humidity levels near 80% and moderate cloud cover are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing significant cooling from rain, keeping the peak in the narrow 31–33°C window. This pattern aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where subtropical moisture and weak steering flows produce stable daytime highs without strong frontal passages. Model consensus from sources such as the GFS and ECMWF supports the current market-implied odds favoring 32°C, with only modest upward or downward shifts likely if final observations from official stations like Pudong Airport deviate due to localized timing of any showers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日上海最高溫度?
32°C 57%
31°C 26%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
$18,509 交易量
$18,509 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 26%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
$18,509 交易量
$18,509 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
57%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 29 converge on a daily maximum near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and possible scattered drizzle. High humidity levels near 80% and moderate cloud cover are expected to limit extreme heating while preventing significant cooling from rain, keeping the peak in the narrow 31–33°C window. This pattern aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where subtropical moisture and weak steering flows produce stable daytime highs without strong frontal passages. Model consensus from sources such as the GFS and ECMWF supports the current market-implied odds favoring 32°C, with only modest upward or downward shifts likely if final observations from official stations like Pudong Airport deviate due to localized timing of any showers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions