Official meteorological stations across Shanghai, including Xujiahui and Baoshan, recorded a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 29 amid humid subtropical conditions with light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and model consensus projecting overnight lows near 27–28°C, reflecting typical late-August patterns where high humidity and cloud cover moderate temperature drops. The market-implied 100% probability for 27°C captures this verified observational consensus backed by real trader capital. Revised station data or post-event quality checks could theoretically alter the official minimum, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across multiple sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日上海最低溫度？
8月29日上海最低溫度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,444 交易量
$10,444 交易量
2026-08-29
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,444 交易量
$10,444 交易量
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$212 交易量
No
23°C
$103 交易量
No
24°C
$115 交易量
No
25°C
$387 交易量
No
26°C
$2,126 交易量
No
27°C
$4,865 交易量
Yes
28°C
$2,047 交易量
No
29°C
$276 交易量
No
30°C
$108 交易量
No
31°C
$103 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$103 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations across Shanghai, including Xujiahui and Baoshan, recorded a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 29 amid humid subtropical conditions with light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and model consensus projecting overnight lows near 27–28°C, reflecting typical late-August patterns where high humidity and cloud cover moderate temperature drops. The market-implied 100% probability for 27°C captures this verified observational consensus backed by real trader capital. Revised station data or post-event quality checks could theoretically alter the official minimum, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across multiple sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10,444結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations across Shanghai, including Xujiahui and Baoshan, recorded a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 29 amid humid subtropical conditions with light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and model consensus projecting overnight lows near 27–28°C, reflecting typical late-August patterns where high humidity and cloud cover moderate temperature drops. The market-implied 100% probability for 27°C captures this verified observational consensus backed by real trader capital. Revised station data or post-event quality checks could theoretically alter the official minimum, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across multiple sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,444結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official meteorological stations across Shanghai, including Xujiahui and Baoshan, recorded a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 29 amid humid subtropical conditions with light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and model consensus projecting overnight lows near 27–28°C, reflecting typical late-August patterns where high humidity and cloud cover moderate temperature drops. The market-implied 100% probability for 27°C captures this verified observational consensus backed by real trader capital. Revised station data or post-event quality checks could theoretically alter the official minimum, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across multiple sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions