Persistent southerly flow and high pressure under the current pattern have kept Austin overnight lows in the mid-70s through late August, with National Weather Service guidance showing a 76–77°F low expected for September 1 amid highs near 100°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but runs several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71°F due to the absence of a frontal passage. Ensemble forecast spreads and potential for minor variations in cloud cover or dew points create genuine uncertainty across the 68–85°F range, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for the listed bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月1日奧斯汀最低溫度？
67華氏度或以下 59%
華氏86度或更高 59%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
67華氏度或以下
59%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
43%
華氏86度或更高
59%
67華氏度或以下 59%
華氏86度或更高 59%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
67華氏度或以下
$0 交易量
59%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
47%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
49%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
49%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
30%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
25%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
49%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
49%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
49%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
43%
華氏86度或更高
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and high pressure under the current pattern have kept Austin overnight lows in the mid-70s through late August, with National Weather Service guidance showing a 76–77°F low expected for September 1 amid highs near 100°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but runs several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71°F due to the absence of a frontal passage. Ensemble forecast spreads and potential for minor variations in cloud cover or dew points create genuine uncertainty across the 68–85°F range, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for the listed bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and high pressure under the current pattern have kept Austin overnight lows in the mid-70s through late August, with National Weather Service guidance showing a 76–77°F low expected for September 1 amid highs near 100°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but runs several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71°F due to the absence of a frontal passage. Ensemble forecast spreads and potential for minor variations in cloud cover or dew points create genuine uncertainty across the 68–85°F range, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for the listed bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETPersistent southerly flow and high pressure under the current pattern have kept Austin overnight lows in the mid-70s through late August, with National Weather Service guidance showing a 76–77°F low expected for September 1 amid highs near 100°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early September but runs several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71°F due to the absence of a frontal passage. Ensemble forecast spreads and potential for minor variations in cloud cover or dew points create genuine uncertainty across the 68–85°F range, which traders reflect in closely matched implied probabilities for the listed bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions