Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Denver overnight lows on September 1 will likely fall in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 72°F+ (44.5%) and 53°F-or-below (43.5%) outcomes. Key variables include radiational cooling rates after any afternoon convection clears, boundary-layer moisture from recent thunderstorm activity, and subtle steering from weak upper-level flow that could allow warmer downslope air or enhanced cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs against climatological norms of ~57°F early-September minima at Denver’s elevation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日丹佛的最低溫度?
華氏72度或更高 86%
53°F或以下 85%
68-69°F 50%
70-71°F 50%
53°F或以下
85%
54-55°F
47%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
50%
70-71°F
50%
華氏72度或更高
86%
華氏72度或更高 86%
53°F或以下 85%
68-69°F 50%
70-71°F 50%
53°F或以下
85%
54-55°F
47%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
50%
70-71°F
50%
華氏72度或更高
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate Denver overnight lows on September 1 will likely fall in the upper 50s to mid-60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 72°F+ (44.5%) and 53°F-or-below (43.5%) outcomes. Key variables include radiational cooling rates after any afternoon convection clears, boundary-layer moisture from recent thunderstorm activity, and subtle steering from weak upper-level flow that could allow warmer downslope air or enhanced cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs against climatological norms of ~57°F early-September minima at Denver’s elevation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions