**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 1, 2026, converge on a maximum temperature of 17–19°C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C (33.5%) and 19°C (44.0%).** Multiple models and services, including WeatherBug (around 18°C, mostly sunny), Easeweather (18°C, overcast), TheWeatherOutlook (18°C), and PredictWind (19°C), indicate mild spring conditions under stable high pressure with light southerly to southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Historical averages for early September show daily highs near 18°C, providing a climatological baseline that reinforces the 17–19°C cluster. Recent observations through late August have featured highs of 15–16°C with gradual warming, and no strong frontal systems or anomalous advection are projected to shift this trajectory sharply. Light winds and minimal precipitation risk further support modest daytime heating without extremes. The market’s implied probabilities reflect this consensus while assigning low odds to 20°C+ (under 11% combined) or 17°C and below (under 21%), consistent with typical variability around the seasonal mean in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate. Updated model runs closer to the date will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月1日最高溫度？
開普敦9月1日最高溫度？
19°C 44%
18°C 34%
17°C 20%
20°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
34%
19°C
44%
20°C
20%
21°C
18%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 34%
17°C 20%
20°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$0 交易量
9%
17°C
$10 交易量
16%
18°C
$81 交易量
34%
19°C
$51 交易量
44%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
<1%
23°C
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 1, 2026, converge on a maximum temperature of 17–19°C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C (33.5%) and 19°C (44.0%).** Multiple models and services, including WeatherBug (around 18°C, mostly sunny), Easeweather (18°C, overcast), TheWeatherOutlook (18°C), and PredictWind (19°C), indicate mild spring conditions under stable high pressure with light southerly to southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover.
Historical averages for early September show daily highs near 18°C, providing a climatological baseline that reinforces the 17–19°C cluster. Recent observations through late August have featured highs of 15–16°C with gradual warming, and no strong frontal systems or anomalous advection are projected to shift this trajectory sharply. Light winds and minimal precipitation risk further support modest daytime heating without extremes.
The market’s implied probabilities reflect this consensus while assigning low odds to 20°C+ (under 11% combined) or 17°C and below (under 21%), consistent with typical variability around the seasonal mean in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate. Updated model runs closer to the date will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$142結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 1, 2026, converge on a maximum temperature of 17–19°C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C (33.5%) and 19°C (44.0%).** Multiple models and services, including WeatherBug (around 18°C, mostly sunny), Easeweather (18°C, overcast), TheWeatherOutlook (18°C), and PredictWind (19°C), indicate mild spring conditions under stable high pressure with light southerly to southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover.
Historical averages for early September show daily highs near 18°C, providing a climatological baseline that reinforces the 17–19°C cluster. Recent observations through late August have featured highs of 15–16°C with gradual warming, and no strong frontal systems or anomalous advection are projected to shift this trajectory sharply. Light winds and minimal precipitation risk further support modest daytime heating without extremes.
The market’s implied probabilities reflect this consensus while assigning low odds to 20°C+ (under 11% combined) or 17°C and below (under 21%), consistent with typical variability around the seasonal mean in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate. Updated model runs closer to the date will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$142結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 1, 2026, converge on a maximum temperature of 17–19°C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 18°C (33.5%) and 19°C (44.0%).** Multiple models and services, including WeatherBug (around 18°C, mostly sunny), Easeweather (18°C, overcast), TheWeatherOutlook (18°C), and PredictWind (19°C), indicate mild spring conditions under stable high pressure with light southerly to southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Historical averages for early September show daily highs near 18°C, providing a climatological baseline that reinforces the 17–19°C cluster. Recent observations through late August have featured highs of 15–16°C with gradual warming, and no strong frontal systems or anomalous advection are projected to shift this trajectory sharply. Light winds and minimal precipitation risk further support modest daytime heating without extremes. The market’s implied probabilities reflect this consensus while assigning low odds to 20°C+ (under 11% combined) or 17°C and below (under 21%), consistent with typical variability around the seasonal mean in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate. Updated model runs closer to the date will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions