Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 10–11°C in Cape Town on August 31 under high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that promote radiative cooling without strong advection of warmer air. This setup aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region's Mediterranean climate, where minimum temperatures have varied from 5–13°C earlier in August depending on cloud cover and wind. Trader sentiment clusters on lower bins because small differences in dew-point depression, boundary-layer mixing, or local topography around measurement sites can shift the exact minimum by 2–3°C, while model consensus and recent stable high-pressure patterns limit odds of extremes above 11°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月31日的最低溫度?
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
9°C 27%
7°C 26%
5°C or below
17%
6°C
25%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
23%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
1%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
9°C 27%
7°C 26%
5°C or below
17%
6°C
25%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
23%
12°C
2%
13°C
10%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 10–11°C in Cape Town on August 31 under high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that promote radiative cooling without strong advection of warmer air. This setup aligns with typical late-winter conditions in the region's Mediterranean climate, where minimum temperatures have varied from 5–13°C earlier in August depending on cloud cover and wind. Trader sentiment clusters on lower bins because small differences in dew-point depression, boundary-layer mixing, or local topography around measurement sites can shift the exact minimum by 2–3°C, while model consensus and recent stable high-pressure patterns limit odds of extremes above 11°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions