Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high around 34–36°C for Chongqing on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driven by a strengthening subtropical high and reduced moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble spreads and recent runs show modest uncertainty from local topography and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C to official readings. Trader consensus clusters on 35°C and 36°C as the resolution range because historical analogs for late-summer clear days in the region rarely exceed 37°C or drop below 33°C this early in September. New CMA and ECMWF updates expected August 31 could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日重慶氣溫最高？
9月1日重慶氣溫最高？
35°C 37%
36°C 28%
34°C 14%
38°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
9%
34°C
14%
35°C
37%
36°C
28%
37°C
7%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 37%
36°C 28%
34°C 14%
38°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
29°C or below
$116 交易量
<1%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C
$0 交易量
8%
33°C
$2 交易量
9%
34°C
$0 交易量
14%
35°C
$0 交易量
37%
36°C
$58 交易量
28%
37°C
$52 交易量
7%
38°C
$0 交易量
10%
39°C or higher
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high around 34–36°C for Chongqing on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driven by a strengthening subtropical high and reduced moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble spreads and recent runs show modest uncertainty from local topography and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C to official readings. Trader consensus clusters on 35°C and 36°C as the resolution range because historical analogs for late-summer clear days in the region rarely exceed 37°C or drop below 33°C this early in September. New CMA and ECMWF updates expected August 31 could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$228結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high around 34–36°C for Chongqing on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driven by a strengthening subtropical high and reduced moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble spreads and recent runs show modest uncertainty from local topography and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C to official readings. Trader consensus clusters on 35°C and 36°C as the resolution range because historical analogs for late-summer clear days in the region rarely exceed 37°C or drop below 33°C this early in September. New CMA and ECMWF updates expected August 31 could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$228結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from multiple sources indicate a high around 34–36°C for Chongqing on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driven by a strengthening subtropical high and reduced moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin. Ensemble spreads and recent runs show modest uncertainty from local topography and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C to official readings. Trader consensus clusters on 35°C and 36°C as the resolution range because historical analogs for late-summer clear days in the region rarely exceed 37°C or drop below 33°C this early in September. New CMA and ECMWF updates expected August 31 could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions