Recent weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates partly cloudy skies and westerly flow over the North Sea will moderate daytime heating in Amsterdam on September 1, supporting highs clustered near 20–21°C. A building high-pressure ridge following widespread rain on August 31 is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest insolation, while Atlantic maritime air keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than permitting stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minor differences in afternoon wind speeds and residual moisture explaining the tight market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations on August 31 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
20°C 46%
21°C 39%
19°C 13%
22°C 6%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
46%
21°C
39%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 46%
21°C 39%
19°C 13%
22°C 6%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
46%
21°C
39%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates partly cloudy skies and westerly flow over the North Sea will moderate daytime heating in Amsterdam on September 1, supporting highs clustered near 20–21°C. A building high-pressure ridge following widespread rain on August 31 is expected to limit cloud cover and allow modest insolation, while Atlantic maritime air keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than permitting stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minor differences in afternoon wind speeds and residual moisture explaining the tight market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations on August 31 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions