Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, recently enhanced by Tropical Depression Pilandok east of northern Luzon, is the dominant driver capping Manila daytime highs near 29–31 °C through September 1, consistent with PAGASA outlooks for occasional to moderate rains and widespread cloud cover. Official model guidance and station data show typical early-September maxima around 30 °C under these conditions, with thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative heating and peak temperatures. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33 °C reflect trader assessment of brief clearing windows or slight model warm biases, while lower probabilities for 34 °C+ align with historical monsoon suppression of extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and 48-hour model runs will refine landfall and intensity effects ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月1日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
19%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
26°C或以下
$223 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$31 交易量
3%
30°C
$33 交易量
15%
31°C
$57 交易量
27%
32°C
$63 交易量
37%
33°C
$0 交易量
19%
34°C
$0 交易量
19%
35°C
$0 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$121 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, recently enhanced by Tropical Depression Pilandok east of northern Luzon, is the dominant driver capping Manila daytime highs near 29–31 °C through September 1, consistent with PAGASA outlooks for occasional to moderate rains and widespread cloud cover. Official model guidance and station data show typical early-September maxima around 30 °C under these conditions, with thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative heating and peak temperatures. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33 °C reflect trader assessment of brief clearing windows or slight model warm biases, while lower probabilities for 34 °C+ align with historical monsoon suppression of extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and 48-hour model runs will refine landfall and intensity effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$528結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, recently enhanced by Tropical Depression Pilandok east of northern Luzon, is the dominant driver capping Manila daytime highs near 29–31 °C through September 1, consistent with PAGASA outlooks for occasional to moderate rains and widespread cloud cover. Official model guidance and station data show typical early-September maxima around 30 °C under these conditions, with thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative heating and peak temperatures. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33 °C reflect trader assessment of brief clearing windows or slight model warm biases, while lower probabilities for 34 °C+ align with historical monsoon suppression of extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and 48-hour model runs will refine landfall and intensity effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$528結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, recently enhanced by Tropical Depression Pilandok east of northern Luzon, is the dominant driver capping Manila daytime highs near 29–31 °C through September 1, consistent with PAGASA outlooks for occasional to moderate rains and widespread cloud cover. Official model guidance and station data show typical early-September maxima around 30 °C under these conditions, with thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative heating and peak temperatures. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33 °C reflect trader assessment of brief clearing windows or slight model warm biases, while lower probabilities for 34 °C+ align with historical monsoon suppression of extremes. Updated PAGASA briefings and 48-hour model runs will refine landfall and intensity effects ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions