Persistent enhanced southwest monsoon activity and associated widespread cloud cover plus frequent showers are moderating daytime heating across Metro Manila, anchoring trader consensus around 31–32°C maxima for August 31. Seasonal climatology supports highs near 31°C under similar habagat conditions, while model guidance shows minor spread driven by exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and southwest wind strength that influences vertical mixing. A moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds slight warmth but is currently outweighed by monsoon suppression. PAGASA updates and next model cycles through the weekend will refine whether breaks in cloudiness allow a brief 32°C spike or sustained rain keeps readings capped at 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月31日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
37%
32°C
37%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C或以下
$130 交易量
<1%
26°C
$120 交易量
<1%
27°C
$80 交易量
<1%
28°C
$13 交易量
3%
29°C
$35 交易量
5%
30°C
$371 交易量
13%
31°C
$63 交易量
37%
32°C
$673 交易量
37%
33°C
$147 交易量
10%
34°C
$2 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$124 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent enhanced southwest monsoon activity and associated widespread cloud cover plus frequent showers are moderating daytime heating across Metro Manila, anchoring trader consensus around 31–32°C maxima for August 31. Seasonal climatology supports highs near 31°C under similar habagat conditions, while model guidance shows minor spread driven by exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and southwest wind strength that influences vertical mixing. A moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds slight warmth but is currently outweighed by monsoon suppression. PAGASA updates and next model cycles through the weekend will refine whether breaks in cloudiness allow a brief 32°C spike or sustained rain keeps readings capped at 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,757結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent enhanced southwest monsoon activity and associated widespread cloud cover plus frequent showers are moderating daytime heating across Metro Manila, anchoring trader consensus around 31–32°C maxima for August 31. Seasonal climatology supports highs near 31°C under similar habagat conditions, while model guidance shows minor spread driven by exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and southwest wind strength that influences vertical mixing. A moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds slight warmth but is currently outweighed by monsoon suppression. PAGASA updates and next model cycles through the weekend will refine whether breaks in cloudiness allow a brief 32°C spike or sustained rain keeps readings capped at 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,757結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent enhanced southwest monsoon activity and associated widespread cloud cover plus frequent showers are moderating daytime heating across Metro Manila, anchoring trader consensus around 31–32°C maxima for August 31. Seasonal climatology supports highs near 31°C under similar habagat conditions, while model guidance shows minor spread driven by exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and southwest wind strength that influences vertical mixing. A moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds slight warmth but is currently outweighed by monsoon suppression. PAGASA updates and next model cycles through the weekend will refine whether breaks in cloudiness allow a brief 32°C spike or sustained rain keeps readings capped at 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions