**Recent forecast updates position 25°C as the most probable daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 29, 2026.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through August 28, indicate a post-frontal air mass with westerly flow moderating temperatures after scattered thunderstorms on the 28th. Morning clearing and light winds (generally 5–12 km/h from the west) support diurnal heating to a peak near 24–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with the late-August climatological baseline (average high ~22.8°C), adjusted upward slightly by current model consensus but far below historical extremes (record 33°C). Low precipitation probability (under 20% in most guidance) and dew points in the low teens Celsius reduce latent heat effects that could suppress the maximum. Traders' heavy weighting toward 25°C (63.5%) reflects the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance around this value, with 24°C and 26°C as plausible outliers depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture. New model runs or observational data from Munich stations in the next 12–24 hours could refine this before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
8月29日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
25°C 64%
24°C 21%
26°C 12%
27°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
64%
26°C
12%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 64%
24°C 21%
26°C 12%
27°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
19°C or below
$187 交易量
<1%
20°C
$255 交易量
<1%
21°C
$225 交易量
1%
22°C
$350 交易量
3%
23°C
$638 交易量
3%
24°C
$727 交易量
21%
25°C
$3,801 交易量
64%
26°C
$448 交易量
12%
27°C
$448 交易量
4%
28°C
$510 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$363 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates position 25°C as the most probable daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 29, 2026.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through August 28, indicate a post-frontal air mass with westerly flow moderating temperatures after scattered thunderstorms on the 28th. Morning clearing and light winds (generally 5–12 km/h from the west) support diurnal heating to a peak near 24–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover limiting further warming.
This aligns with the late-August climatological baseline (average high ~22.8°C), adjusted upward slightly by current model consensus but far below historical extremes (record 33°C). Low precipitation probability (under 20% in most guidance) and dew points in the low teens Celsius reduce latent heat effects that could suppress the maximum. Traders' heavy weighting toward 25°C (63.5%) reflects the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance around this value, with 24°C and 26°C as plausible outliers depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture. New model runs or observational data from Munich stations in the next 12–24 hours could refine this before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,950結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates position 25°C as the most probable daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 29, 2026.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through August 28, indicate a post-frontal air mass with westerly flow moderating temperatures after scattered thunderstorms on the 28th. Morning clearing and light winds (generally 5–12 km/h from the west) support diurnal heating to a peak near 24–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover limiting further warming.
This aligns with the late-August climatological baseline (average high ~22.8°C), adjusted upward slightly by current model consensus but far below historical extremes (record 33°C). Low precipitation probability (under 20% in most guidance) and dew points in the low teens Celsius reduce latent heat effects that could suppress the maximum. Traders' heavy weighting toward 25°C (63.5%) reflects the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance around this value, with 24°C and 26°C as plausible outliers depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture. New model runs or observational data from Munich stations in the next 12–24 hours could refine this before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,950結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Recent forecast updates position 25°C as the most probable daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 29, 2026.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through August 28, indicate a post-frontal air mass with westerly flow moderating temperatures after scattered thunderstorms on the 28th. Morning clearing and light winds (generally 5–12 km/h from the west) support diurnal heating to a peak near 24–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with the late-August climatological baseline (average high ~22.8°C), adjusted upward slightly by current model consensus but far below historical extremes (record 33°C). Low precipitation probability (under 20% in most guidance) and dew points in the low teens Celsius reduce latent heat effects that could suppress the maximum. Traders' heavy weighting toward 25°C (63.5%) reflects the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance around this value, with 24°C and 26°C as plausible outliers depending on exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture. New model runs or observational data from Munich stations in the next 12–24 hours could refine this before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions