Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月28日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
22°C 39%
21°C 28%
23°C 21%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
16°C或以下
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
28%
22°C
39%
23°C
21%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C或以上
3%
22°C 39%
21°C 28%
23°C 21%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
16°C或以下
$5 交易量
3%
17°C
$5 交易量
3%
18°C
$31 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C
$0 交易量
9%
21°C
$64 交易量
28%
22°C
$107 交易量
39%
23°C
$18 交易量
21%
24°C
$0 交易量
5%
25°C
$38 交易量
5%
26°C或以上
$32 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$301結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$301結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a shift to southwesterly flow and scattered thunderstorms across the Netherlands on August 28, 2026, limiting afternoon heating and capping the daily maximum near 21–23°C. This follows warmer conditions on August 27, when highs reached the mid-to-upper 20s°C under more stable easterly flow. The expected precipitation and cloud cover align with the climatological average high of 21.3°C for the date while suppressing potential for 24°C or higher readings. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting the current short-range forecast guidance and typical model agreement at this lead time, with resolution hinging on official KNMI observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions