Recent seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology indicate temperatures running 1–1.6 °C above the long-term August average across the western region, driven by elevated Red Sea sea-surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and rainfall. Short-range model guidance for 26 August shows daytime maxima clustered between 36 °C and 40 °C, with the precise peak hinging on local wind shifts and the timing of any diurnal heating spike. These factors create the tight market spread between the 38 °C and 39 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the likelihood of a modest exceedance versus stabilization near the climatological 37–38 °C envelope. Updated model runs and official Saudi Meteorological bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日吉達的最高溫度?
39°C或以上 39%
38°C 34%
37°C 17%
36°C 11%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
17%
38°C
34%
39°C或以上
39%
39°C或以上 39%
38°C 34%
37°C 17%
36°C 11%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
17%
38°C
34%
39°C或以上
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology indicate temperatures running 1–1.6 °C above the long-term August average across the western region, driven by elevated Red Sea sea-surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and rainfall. Short-range model guidance for 26 August shows daytime maxima clustered between 36 °C and 40 °C, with the precise peak hinging on local wind shifts and the timing of any diurnal heating spike. These factors create the tight market spread between the 38 °C and 39 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the likelihood of a modest exceedance versus stabilization near the climatological 37–38 °C envelope. Updated model runs and official Saudi Meteorological bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions