Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月24日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
22%
15°C
55%
16°C
20%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C or below
$37 交易量
<1%
10°C
$79 交易量
<1%
11°C
$37 交易量
<1%
12°C
$104 交易量
<1%
13°C
$106 交易量
3%
14°C
$239 交易量
22%
15°C
$157 交易量
55%
16°C
$217 交易量
20%
17°C
$181 交易量
3%
18°C
$5 交易量
3%
19°C or higher
$37 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,202結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,202結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to mostly fine conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over Wellington on August 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 13–15 °C. A preceding period of southerly flow has kept temperatures suppressed, but high-pressure building in the Tasman Sea is expected to moderate the airmass and reduce shower activity, limiting upside to 16 °C or higher. Historical climatology shows late-August maxima rarely exceed 16 °C without strong northerly advection, which current model consensus does not favor. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 14–15 °C therefore reflects both the expected steering pattern and the narrow range of outcomes typical for this date under near-average winter conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions