Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and multiple models indicate a daily high in Helsinki on August 24 most likely between 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This consensus, following cooler and wetter conditions on August 22–23, drives the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or model resolution can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh ensemble spread and historical August variability in the Baltic region when assigning the highest implied probability to 19°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
19°C 41%
18°C 29%
20°C 19%
17°C 9%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
29%
19°C
41%
20°C
19%
21°C
4%
22°C或以上
1%
19°C 41%
18°C 29%
20°C 19%
17°C 9%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
29%
19°C
41%
20°C
19%
21°C
4%
22°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and multiple models indicate a daily high in Helsinki on August 24 most likely between 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This consensus, following cooler and wetter conditions on August 22–23, drives the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or model resolution can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh ensemble spread and historical August variability in the Baltic region when assigning the highest implied probability to 19°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions