**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office and supporting models points to a high near 107°F on August 22 under an entrenched upper-level ridge, with mostly sunny skies, light south-to-southwest winds, and minimal afternoon convection (under 20% chance of storms).** This setup favors strong daytime heating and heat indices above 110°F, consistent with the ongoing Extreme Heat Warning. Traders appear to assign higher weight to 104-105°F outcomes (49.5% implied) possibly reflecting station-specific official readings (e.g., city vs. airport), slight model cooling from scattered clouds or outflow boundaries, and the narrow margin between forecast guidance and observed trends from the prior day. Lower-probability bins above 107°F capture upside risk if the ridge strengthens or storms fail to develop, while historical August maxima near 105-106°F provide climatological context for the tight distribution around the mid-100s. New NWS updates or afternoon observations will likely drive the next shifts in market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日達拉斯的最高溫度？
8月22日達拉斯的最高溫度？
104-105°F 49%
106-107°F 25%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 5%
最新
$19,055 交易量
最新
$19,055 交易量
2026-08-22
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
49%
106-107°F
25%
108-109°F
5%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 49%
106-107°F 25%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 5%
最新
$19,055 交易量
最新
$19,055 交易量
2026-08-22
97°F or below
$1,507 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$3,919 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$2,210 交易量
3%
102-103°F
$1,315 交易量
16%
104-105°F
$2,555 交易量
49%
106-107°F
$3,751 交易量
25%
108-109°F
$732 交易量
5%
110-111°F
$1,245 交易量
2%
112-113°F
$264 交易量
<1%
114-115°F
$1,210 交易量
<1%
116°F or higher
$346 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office and supporting models points to a high near 107°F on August 22 under an entrenched upper-level ridge, with mostly sunny skies, light south-to-southwest winds, and minimal afternoon convection (under 20% chance of storms).** This setup favors strong daytime heating and heat indices above 110°F, consistent with the ongoing Extreme Heat Warning. Traders appear to assign higher weight to 104-105°F outcomes (49.5% implied) possibly reflecting station-specific official readings (e.g., city vs. airport), slight model cooling from scattered clouds or outflow boundaries, and the narrow margin between forecast guidance and observed trends from the prior day. Lower-probability bins above 107°F capture upside risk if the ridge strengthens or storms fail to develop, while historical August maxima near 105-106°F provide climatological context for the tight distribution around the mid-100s. New NWS updates or afternoon observations will likely drive the next shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$19,055結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office and supporting models points to a high near 107°F on August 22 under an entrenched upper-level ridge, with mostly sunny skies, light south-to-southwest winds, and minimal afternoon convection (under 20% chance of storms).** This setup favors strong daytime heating and heat indices above 110°F, consistent with the ongoing Extreme Heat Warning. Traders appear to assign higher weight to 104-105°F outcomes (49.5% implied) possibly reflecting station-specific official readings (e.g., city vs. airport), slight model cooling from scattered clouds or outflow boundaries, and the narrow margin between forecast guidance and observed trends from the prior day. Lower-probability bins above 107°F capture upside risk if the ridge strengthens or storms fail to develop, while historical August maxima near 105-106°F provide climatological context for the tight distribution around the mid-100s. New NWS updates or afternoon observations will likely drive the next shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,055結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office and supporting models points to a high near 107°F on August 22 under an entrenched upper-level ridge, with mostly sunny skies, light south-to-southwest winds, and minimal afternoon convection (under 20% chance of storms).** This setup favors strong daytime heating and heat indices above 110°F, consistent with the ongoing Extreme Heat Warning. Traders appear to assign higher weight to 104-105°F outcomes (49.5% implied) possibly reflecting station-specific official readings (e.g., city vs. airport), slight model cooling from scattered clouds or outflow boundaries, and the narrow margin between forecast guidance and observed trends from the prior day. Lower-probability bins above 107°F capture upside risk if the ridge strengthens or storms fail to develop, while historical August maxima near 105-106°F provide climatological context for the tight distribution around the mid-100s. New NWS updates or afternoon observations will likely drive the next shifts in market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions