Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21 likely in the upper 70s to low 90s°F range, driven by a persistent marine layer with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon sunshine under southwest flow. This setup, combined with an ongoing marine heat wave elevating Pacific sea-surface temperatures and local humidity, supports afternoon peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of about 77–80°F. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 80–83°F, aligning with trader assessments of official station readings (such as downtown or LAX) that often run cooler than inland maxima due to onshore moderation, while lower odds for 84°F+ reflect limited intensification potential absent stronger offshore winds. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the final peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月21日的最高溫度?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 6%
$33,918 交易量
$33,918 交易量
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或以上
<1%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 6%
$33,918 交易量
$33,918 交易量
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21 likely in the upper 70s to low 90s°F range, driven by a persistent marine layer with morning low clouds and fog giving way to afternoon sunshine under southwest flow. This setup, combined with an ongoing marine heat wave elevating Pacific sea-surface temperatures and local humidity, supports afternoon peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of about 77–80°F. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 80–83°F, aligning with trader assessments of official station readings (such as downtown or LAX) that often run cooler than inland maxima due to onshore moderation, while lower odds for 84°F+ reflect limited intensification potential absent stronger offshore winds. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the final peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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