Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service place Munich’s August 21 maximum near 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C (33.5 %) and 22 °C (23.5 %). Light rain showers or thundery activity expected under weak westerly flow could limit daytime heating and cap peaks, while any delay in cloud cover or modest southerly advection would favor the 23–24 °C tail. Two-day model spread remains notable because small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture alter insolation and mixing; historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows similar variability around the 22 °C seasonal mean. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF will refine resolution thresholds before settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
8月21日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
21°C 32%
22°C 24%
20°C 16%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
32%
22°C
24%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 32%
22°C 24%
20°C 16%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
14°C or below
$433 交易量
<1%
15°C
$439 交易量
<1%
16°C
$389 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,093 交易量
1%
18°C
$15 交易量
3%
19°C
$103 交易量
8%
20°C
$107 交易量
16%
21°C
$67 交易量
32%
22°C
$167 交易量
24%
23°C
$170 交易量
13%
24°C or higher
$603 交易量
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service place Munich’s August 21 maximum near 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C (33.5 %) and 22 °C (23.5 %). Light rain showers or thundery activity expected under weak westerly flow could limit daytime heating and cap peaks, while any delay in cloud cover or modest southerly advection would favor the 23–24 °C tail. Two-day model spread remains notable because small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture alter insolation and mixing; historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows similar variability around the 22 °C seasonal mean. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF will refine resolution thresholds before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,586結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service place Munich’s August 21 maximum near 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C (33.5 %) and 22 °C (23.5 %). Light rain showers or thundery activity expected under weak westerly flow could limit daytime heating and cap peaks, while any delay in cloud cover or modest southerly advection would favor the 23–24 °C tail. Two-day model spread remains notable because small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture alter insolation and mixing; historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows similar variability around the 22 °C seasonal mean. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF will refine resolution thresholds before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,586結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service place Munich’s August 21 maximum near 21–23 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C (33.5 %) and 22 °C (23.5 %). Light rain showers or thundery activity expected under weak westerly flow could limit daytime heating and cap peaks, while any delay in cloud cover or modest southerly advection would favor the 23–24 °C tail. Two-day model spread remains notable because small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture alter insolation and mixing; historical late-August climatology for southern Bavaria shows similar variability around the 22 °C seasonal mean. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF will refine resolution thresholds before settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions