Traders are weighting short-term ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS for Chongqing's August 19 maximum, where the tight clustering around 29–31°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions within the Sichuan Basin. Subtropical summer dynamics, including variable monsoon moisture, potential cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification, create small but resolution-critical differences in peak readings, while historical August baselines near 30°C provide context. New observational data and updated model runs expected within 48 hours will likely shift implied probabilities as steering patterns and diurnal heating clarify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日重慶氣溫最高？
8月19日重慶氣溫最高？
30°C 26%
29°C 22%
31°C 18%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
14%
28°C
15%
29°C
22%
30°C
26%
31°C
18%
32°C
11%
33°C
9%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
30°C 26%
29°C 22%
31°C 18%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
$0 交易量
14%
28°C
$0 交易量
15%
29°C
$8 交易量
22%
30°C
$0 交易量
26%
31°C
$0 交易量
18%
32°C
$0 交易量
11%
33°C
$0 交易量
9%
34°C
$5 交易量
8%
35°C
$5 交易量
3%
36°C
$5 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting short-term ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS for Chongqing's August 19 maximum, where the tight clustering around 29–31°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions within the Sichuan Basin. Subtropical summer dynamics, including variable monsoon moisture, potential cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification, create small but resolution-critical differences in peak readings, while historical August baselines near 30°C provide context. New observational data and updated model runs expected within 48 hours will likely shift implied probabilities as steering patterns and diurnal heating clarify.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$28結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting short-term ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS for Chongqing's August 19 maximum, where the tight clustering around 29–31°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions within the Sichuan Basin. Subtropical summer dynamics, including variable monsoon moisture, potential cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification, create small but resolution-critical differences in peak readings, while historical August baselines near 30°C provide context. New observational data and updated model runs expected within 48 hours will likely shift implied probabilities as steering patterns and diurnal heating clarify.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTraders are weighting short-term ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS for Chongqing's August 19 maximum, where the tight clustering around 29–31°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions within the Sichuan Basin. Subtropical summer dynamics, including variable monsoon moisture, potential cloud cover, and urban heat island amplification, create small but resolution-critical differences in peak readings, while historical August baselines near 30°C provide context. New observational data and updated model runs expected within 48 hours will likely shift implied probabilities as steering patterns and diurnal heating clarify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions