Recent forecasts from models such as those issued by the South African Weather Service point to a highest temperature near 17–18°C in Cape Town on August 19, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The market’s tight spread across 17–19°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in local factors including the strength of southerly winds from the cold Atlantic, potential cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or enhance maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 17°C, with observed variability driven by the interplay between the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and occasional warmer northerly flow. Updated model runs and official guidance on wind patterns expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月19日的最高溫度?
19°C 36%
18°C 35%
17°C 21%
20°C 14%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
21%
18°C
35%
19°C
23%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C或以上
1%
19°C 36%
18°C 35%
17°C 21%
20°C 14%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
21%
18°C
35%
19°C
23%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models such as those issued by the South African Weather Service point to a highest temperature near 17–18°C in Cape Town on August 19, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The market’s tight spread across 17–19°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in local factors including the strength of southerly winds from the cold Atlantic, potential cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or enhance maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 17°C, with observed variability driven by the interplay between the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and occasional warmer northerly flow. Updated model runs and official guidance on wind patterns expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions