Forecast models for Moscow on August 19 show high temperatures clustered near 18–20°C, reflecting a transitional pattern with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating compared to mid-August peaks near 24°C. Ensemble guidance highlights modest northerly flow and variable boundary-layer moisture as key controls on maximum readings, producing a narrow probability distribution where small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could favor either 18°C or 19°C. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high near 22°C, underscoring the current cooler anomaly driven by recent synoptic evolution. Updated runs from global models expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日莫斯科的最高溫度?
19°C 31%
18°C 24%
17°C 20%
20°C 16%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
24%
19°C
31%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 31%
18°C 24%
17°C 20%
20°C 16%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
24%
19°C
31%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Moscow on August 19 show high temperatures clustered near 18–20°C, reflecting a transitional pattern with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating compared to mid-August peaks near 24°C. Ensemble guidance highlights modest northerly flow and variable boundary-layer moisture as key controls on maximum readings, producing a narrow probability distribution where small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could favor either 18°C or 19°C. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high near 22°C, underscoring the current cooler anomaly driven by recent synoptic evolution. Updated runs from global models expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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