Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers indicate a modest chance for peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on August 17, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and scattered convective showers that may limit full solar heating. Typical August climatology features afternoon highs near 33–34°C with frequent thunderstorms, but reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while stronger storms favor 34°C or lower. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing model consensus against historical variability in daily maxima and the precise timing of precipitation relative to the observation period. Updated forecast runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日廣州最高溫度？
8月17日廣州最高溫度？
36°C 32%
35°C 29%
34°C 20%
37°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
20%
35°C
29%
36°C
32%
37°C
10%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
<1%
36°C 32%
35°C 29%
34°C 20%
37°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
29°C或以下
$252 交易量
<1%
30°C
$365 交易量
<1%
31°C
$204 交易量
1%
32°C
$445 交易量
3%
33°C
$317 交易量
7%
34°C
$298 交易量
20%
35°C
$453 交易量
29%
36°C
$1,022 交易量
32%
37°C
$1,655 交易量
10%
38°C
$3,522 交易量
2%
39°C或更高
$842 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers indicate a modest chance for peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on August 17, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and scattered convective showers that may limit full solar heating. Typical August climatology features afternoon highs near 33–34°C with frequent thunderstorms, but reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while stronger storms favor 34°C or lower. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing model consensus against historical variability in daily maxima and the precise timing of precipitation relative to the observation period. Updated forecast runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
交易量
$9,375結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers indicate a modest chance for peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on August 17, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and scattered convective showers that may limit full solar heating. Typical August climatology features afternoon highs near 33–34°C with frequent thunderstorms, but reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while stronger storms favor 34°C or lower. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing model consensus against historical variability in daily maxima and the precise timing of precipitation relative to the observation period. Updated forecast runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,375結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers indicate a modest chance for peak temperatures of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on August 17, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and scattered convective showers that may limit full solar heating. Typical August climatology features afternoon highs near 33–34°C with frequent thunderstorms, but reduced cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 36°C, while stronger storms favor 34°C or lower. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighing model consensus against historical variability in daily maxima and the precise timing of precipitation relative to the observation period. Updated forecast runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions