Strong southerly winds from a recent polar air mass continue to suppress temperatures across Wellington, keeping the daytime maximum well below the seasonal average of around 12°C. Official MetService and NIWA forecasts for August 17 consistently indicate a high of 9°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, limiting solar heating and reinforcing the cool flow. Model consensus shows limited warming potential, with wind gusts expected to further moderate any brief temperature spikes. Trader positioning favoring 10°C as the leading outcome (71.5% implied probability) likely reflects slight upward bias from ensemble variability or station-specific measurement differences, while the 9°C and 11°C options capture the narrow uncertainty band around current guidance. New model runs and observational updates overnight will determine whether the market shifts closer to the 9°C consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
10°C 71%
9°C 19%
11°C 11%
12°C 2%
最新
$33,596 交易量
最新
$33,596 交易量
2026-08-17
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
19%
10°C
71%
11°C
11%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 71%
9°C 19%
11°C 11%
12°C 2%
最新
$33,596 交易量
最新
$33,596 交易量
2026-08-17
4°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
5°C
$106 交易量
<1%
6°C
$2,135 交易量
<1%
7°C
$3,682 交易量
<1%
8°C
$9,498 交易量
<1%
9°C
$5,232 交易量
19%
10°C
$4,277 交易量
71%
11°C
$3,688 交易量
11%
12°C
$2,232 交易量
2%
13°C
$2,326 交易量
<1%
14°C or higher
$309 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly winds from a recent polar air mass continue to suppress temperatures across Wellington, keeping the daytime maximum well below the seasonal average of around 12°C. Official MetService and NIWA forecasts for August 17 consistently indicate a high of 9°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, limiting solar heating and reinforcing the cool flow. Model consensus shows limited warming potential, with wind gusts expected to further moderate any brief temperature spikes. Trader positioning favoring 10°C as the leading outcome (71.5% implied probability) likely reflects slight upward bias from ensemble variability or station-specific measurement differences, while the 9°C and 11°C options capture the narrow uncertainty band around current guidance. New model runs and observational updates overnight will determine whether the market shifts closer to the 9°C consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$33,596結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly winds from a recent polar air mass continue to suppress temperatures across Wellington, keeping the daytime maximum well below the seasonal average of around 12°C. Official MetService and NIWA forecasts for August 17 consistently indicate a high of 9°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, limiting solar heating and reinforcing the cool flow. Model consensus shows limited warming potential, with wind gusts expected to further moderate any brief temperature spikes. Trader positioning favoring 10°C as the leading outcome (71.5% implied probability) likely reflects slight upward bias from ensemble variability or station-specific measurement differences, while the 9°C and 11°C options capture the narrow uncertainty band around current guidance. New model runs and observational updates overnight will determine whether the market shifts closer to the 9°C consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,596結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETStrong southerly winds from a recent polar air mass continue to suppress temperatures across Wellington, keeping the daytime maximum well below the seasonal average of around 12°C. Official MetService and NIWA forecasts for August 17 consistently indicate a high of 9°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, limiting solar heating and reinforcing the cool flow. Model consensus shows limited warming potential, with wind gusts expected to further moderate any brief temperature spikes. Trader positioning favoring 10°C as the leading outcome (71.5% implied probability) likely reflects slight upward bias from ensemble variability or station-specific measurement differences, while the 9°C and 11°C options capture the narrow uncertainty band around current guidance. New model runs and observational updates overnight will determine whether the market shifts closer to the 9°C consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions