Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a maximum of 33°C in Busan on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with modest precipitation chances. This aligns with climatological peaks for mid-August, when the East Asian summer monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems typically drive daytime highs near 30–32°C amid high humidity. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, though afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could moderate extremes. Traders weigh these official guidance products against historical August maxima around 84–86°F (29–30°C) when assessing implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and thermal profiles ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日釜山的最高溫度?
28°C 30%
27°C 23%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
23%
28°C
30%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
5%
28°C 30%
27°C 23%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
23%
28°C
30%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a maximum of 33°C in Busan on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with modest precipitation chances. This aligns with climatological peaks for mid-August, when the East Asian summer monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems typically drive daytime highs near 30–32°C amid high humidity. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, though afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could moderate extremes. Traders weigh these official guidance products against historical August maxima around 84–86°F (29–30°C) when assessing implied probabilities for specific temperature thresholds. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and thermal profiles ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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