Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Karachi on August 16 because that value aligns closely with long-term August climatology and recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance indicating persistently hot, humid conditions with daytime maxima typically 31–34°C. Coastal moisture and monsoon influences suppress extreme heat while maintaining temperatures near the seasonal mean of roughly 32°C, with limited model divergence expected for the short-term forecast window. Recent observations and outlooks show no significant cooling from cloud cover or rainfall that would shift the distribution toward 31°C or lower, nor intensification that would favor 33°C or above, reinforcing market consensus around the central tendency of verified historical baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
8月16日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
32°C 61%
33°C 22%
31°C 19%
34°C <1%
最新
$29,514 交易量
最新
$29,514 交易量
2026-08-16
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
19%
32°C
61%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
32°C 61%
33°C 22%
31°C 19%
34°C <1%
最新
$29,514 交易量
最新
$29,514 交易量
2026-08-16
27°C或以下
$232 交易量
<1%
28°C
$338 交易量
<1%
29°C
$15,571 交易量
<1%
30°C
$996 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,863 交易量
19%
32°C
$6,165 交易量
61%
33°C
$2,933 交易量
22%
34°C
$325 交易量
1%
35°C
$285 交易量
<1%
36°C
$577 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$229 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Karachi on August 16 because that value aligns closely with long-term August climatology and recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance indicating persistently hot, humid conditions with daytime maxima typically 31–34°C. Coastal moisture and monsoon influences suppress extreme heat while maintaining temperatures near the seasonal mean of roughly 32°C, with limited model divergence expected for the short-term forecast window. Recent observations and outlooks show no significant cooling from cloud cover or rainfall that would shift the distribution toward 31°C or lower, nor intensification that would favor 33°C or above, reinforcing market consensus around the central tendency of verified historical baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$29,514結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Karachi on August 16 because that value aligns closely with long-term August climatology and recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance indicating persistently hot, humid conditions with daytime maxima typically 31–34°C. Coastal moisture and monsoon influences suppress extreme heat while maintaining temperatures near the seasonal mean of roughly 32°C, with limited model divergence expected for the short-term forecast window. Recent observations and outlooks show no significant cooling from cloud cover or rainfall that would shift the distribution toward 31°C or lower, nor intensification that would favor 33°C or above, reinforcing market consensus around the central tendency of verified historical baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,514結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTraders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Karachi on August 16 because that value aligns closely with long-term August climatology and recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance indicating persistently hot, humid conditions with daytime maxima typically 31–34°C. Coastal moisture and monsoon influences suppress extreme heat while maintaining temperatures near the seasonal mean of roughly 32°C, with limited model divergence expected for the short-term forecast window. Recent observations and outlooks show no significant cooling from cloud cover or rainfall that would shift the distribution toward 31°C or lower, nor intensification that would favor 33°C or above, reinforcing market consensus around the central tendency of verified historical baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions