Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies project Miami's minimum temperature on August 16 to settle in the low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 82–83°F. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and light southeasterly winds limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings well above seasonal norms for a brief dip. Historical August lows average near 80°F, providing climatological context for this positioning, while current observations and short-range guidance show no frontal passages or atypical atmospheric patterns. Traders assign minimal probability to cooler bins given model consensus, though a sudden shift in steering currents or localized measurement variance at official stations could theoretically alter the recorded minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月16日邁阿密的最低溫度？
82-83°F 98%
80-81°F 2%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$8,141 交易量
$8,141 交易量
2026-08-16
73°F或以下
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
98%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 98%
80-81°F 2%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$8,141 交易量
$8,141 交易量
2026-08-16
73°F或以下
$281 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$357 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$736 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$814 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$878 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$987 交易量
98%
84-85°F
$2,099 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$716 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$701 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$291 交易量
<1%
92°F或更高
$281 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies project Miami's minimum temperature on August 16 to settle in the low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 82–83°F. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and light southeasterly winds limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings well above seasonal norms for a brief dip. Historical August lows average near 80°F, providing climatological context for this positioning, while current observations and short-range guidance show no frontal passages or atypical atmospheric patterns. Traders assign minimal probability to cooler bins given model consensus, though a sudden shift in steering currents or localized measurement variance at official stations could theoretically alter the recorded minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$8,141結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies project Miami's minimum temperature on August 16 to settle in the low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 82–83°F. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and light southeasterly winds limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings well above seasonal norms for a brief dip. Historical August lows average near 80°F, providing climatological context for this positioning, while current observations and short-range guidance show no frontal passages or atypical atmospheric patterns. Traders assign minimal probability to cooler bins given model consensus, though a sudden shift in steering currents or localized measurement variance at official stations could theoretically alter the recorded minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,141結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies project Miami's minimum temperature on August 16 to settle in the low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 82–83°F. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and light southeasterly winds limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings well above seasonal norms for a brief dip. Historical August lows average near 80°F, providing climatological context for this positioning, while current observations and short-range guidance show no frontal passages or atypical atmospheric patterns. Traders assign minimal probability to cooler bins given model consensus, though a sudden shift in steering currents or localized measurement variance at official stations could theoretically alter the recorded minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions