**Recent forecasts position 33–34°C as the most likely highs for Chengdu on August 16.** Numerical weather models and extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C (93°F) under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with the basin’s humid subtropical monsoon climate. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar heating, while the Western Pacific Subtropical High maintains elevated baseline warmth and humidity typical of mid-August. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 30–34°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C during clearer periods, but current steering patterns and moisture favor modest moderation. Traders weigh these short-term model consensus signals—updated daily by agencies—against the potential for clearing skies or stronger subsidence that could push readings to 35°C or higher, explaining the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 33–34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日成都最高溫度？
8月16日成都最高溫度？
33°C 37%
34°C 21%
35°C or higher 19.9%
32°C 16%
最新
$12,133 交易量
最新
$12,133 交易量
2026-08-16
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
16%
33°C
37%
34°C
21%
35°C or higher
20%
33°C 37%
34°C 21%
35°C or higher 19.9%
32°C 16%
最新
$12,133 交易量
最新
$12,133 交易量
2026-08-16
25°C or below
$484 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,086 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,420 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,956 交易量
<1%
29°C
$403 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,300 交易量
4%
31°C
$944 交易量
8%
32°C
$840 交易量
16%
33°C
$1,230 交易量
37%
34°C
$337 交易量
21%
35°C or higher
$2,134 交易量
20%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position 33–34°C as the most likely highs for Chengdu on August 16.** Numerical weather models and extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C (93°F) under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with the basin’s humid subtropical monsoon climate.
Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar heating, while the Western Pacific Subtropical High maintains elevated baseline warmth and humidity typical of mid-August. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 30–34°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C during clearer periods, but current steering patterns and moisture favor modest moderation.
Traders weigh these short-term model consensus signals—updated daily by agencies—against the potential for clearing skies or stronger subsidence that could push readings to 35°C or higher, explaining the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 33–34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$12,133結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position 33–34°C as the most likely highs for Chengdu on August 16.** Numerical weather models and extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C (93°F) under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with the basin’s humid subtropical monsoon climate.
Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar heating, while the Western Pacific Subtropical High maintains elevated baseline warmth and humidity typical of mid-August. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 30–34°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C during clearer periods, but current steering patterns and moisture favor modest moderation.
Traders weigh these short-term model consensus signals—updated daily by agencies—against the potential for clearing skies or stronger subsidence that could push readings to 35°C or higher, explaining the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 33–34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,133結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent forecasts position 33–34°C as the most likely highs for Chengdu on August 16.** Numerical weather models and extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C (93°F) under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with the basin’s humid subtropical monsoon climate. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar heating, while the Western Pacific Subtropical High maintains elevated baseline warmth and humidity typical of mid-August. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 30–34°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C during clearer periods, but current steering patterns and moisture favor modest moderation. Traders weigh these short-term model consensus signals—updated daily by agencies—against the potential for clearing skies or stronger subsidence that could push readings to 35°C or higher, explaining the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 33–34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions