Trader sentiment for the August 15 Los Angeles high centers on coastal marine layer effects and typical August onshore flow, which have kept recent daily maxima at or near 77–83°F at key stations such as KLAX. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models show morning low clouds giving way to afternoon clearing with highs stabilizing in the mid- to upper-70s, consistent with the strong 65% market weighting on 76–77°F. No major heat advection or offshore wind event has developed in the past 48 hours to push temperatures higher, while normal climatological baselines for mid-August coastal Los Angeles favor this range over inland spikes. Updated model runs and any afternoon clearing observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine the 78–79°F secondary outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日洛杉磯的最高溫度?
76-77°F 66%
78-79°F 18%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 1.1%
$55,582 交易量
$55,582 交易量
華氏65度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
66%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 66%
78-79°F 18%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 1.1%
$55,582 交易量
$55,582 交易量
華氏65度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
66%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for the August 15 Los Angeles high centers on coastal marine layer effects and typical August onshore flow, which have kept recent daily maxima at or near 77–83°F at key stations such as KLAX. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models show morning low clouds giving way to afternoon clearing with highs stabilizing in the mid- to upper-70s, consistent with the strong 65% market weighting on 76–77°F. No major heat advection or offshore wind event has developed in the past 48 hours to push temperatures higher, while normal climatological baselines for mid-August coastal Los Angeles favor this range over inland spikes. Updated model runs and any afternoon clearing observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine the 78–79°F secondary outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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