Forecast models converge on a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 15, reflecting the abrupt replacement of a regional heat wave by cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers are limiting surface heating and convective development, while light northerly winds reduce the potential for localized warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI places the most likely peak near these values, with minor differences arising from exact timing of any cloud breaks or precipitation. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C captures this residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble outputs, consistent with typical late-summer variability in the region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月15日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
24°C 44%
25°C 42%
26°C 10%
23°C 8%
$75,218 交易量
$75,218 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
44%
25°C
42%
26°C
10%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 42%
26°C 10%
23°C 8%
$75,218 交易量
$75,218 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$362 交易量
<1%
21°C
$21,730 交易量
<1%
22°C
$13,628 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,333 交易量
8%
24°C
$9,587 交易量
44%
25°C
$4,974 交易量
42%
26°C
$8,455 交易量
10%
27°C
$4,782 交易量
3%
28°C
$2,203 交易量
<1%
29°C
$462 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$703 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models converge on a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 15, reflecting the abrupt replacement of a regional heat wave by cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers are limiting surface heating and convective development, while light northerly winds reduce the potential for localized warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI places the most likely peak near these values, with minor differences arising from exact timing of any cloud breaks or precipitation. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C captures this residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble outputs, consistent with typical late-summer variability in the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$75,218結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models converge on a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 15, reflecting the abrupt replacement of a regional heat wave by cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers are limiting surface heating and convective development, while light northerly winds reduce the potential for localized warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI places the most likely peak near these values, with minor differences arising from exact timing of any cloud breaks or precipitation. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C captures this residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble outputs, consistent with typical late-summer variability in the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$75,218結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models converge on a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 15, reflecting the abrupt replacement of a regional heat wave by cooler maritime air from the North Sea. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers are limiting surface heating and convective development, while light northerly winds reduce the potential for localized warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and KNMI places the most likely peak near these values, with minor differences arising from exact timing of any cloud breaks or precipitation. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C captures this residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble outputs, consistent with typical late-summer variability in the region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions