Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position 35–36°C as the most probable peak for Guangzhou on August 16, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, strong insolation, and southerly monsoon flow that has maintained daytime maxima near or above seasonal norms. Recent observations show surface temperatures climbing to 34°C on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-20s, supporting elevated heat indices and limited nocturnal cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta further bias outcomes toward the upper end of the distribution. With resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration station readings, traders are closely watching the next model runs and any shifts in steering patterns that could introduce convective cooling or clearer skies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日廣州最高溫度?
36°C 48%
35°C 31%
37°C 11%
34°C 10%
$11,988 交易量
$11,988 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
10%
35°C
31%
36°C
48%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
<1%
36°C 48%
35°C 31%
37°C 11%
34°C 10%
$11,988 交易量
$11,988 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
10%
35°C
31%
36°C
48%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position 35–36°C as the most probable peak for Guangzhou on August 16, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, strong insolation, and southerly monsoon flow that has maintained daytime maxima near or above seasonal norms. Recent observations show surface temperatures climbing to 34°C on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-20s, supporting elevated heat indices and limited nocturnal cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta further bias outcomes toward the upper end of the distribution. With resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration station readings, traders are closely watching the next model runs and any shifts in steering patterns that could introduce convective cooling or clearer skies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions