Current Met Office guidance and real-time observations indicate London’s overnight minimum on August 17 will settle near 19°C under a mild, humid airmass with light northerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble forecasts and station data from Heathrow and St James’s Park show temperatures bottoming out in the 17–20°C range after dawn, consistent with climatological August lows around 14–16°C yet elevated by recent southerly advection. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability on 19°C. A rapid clear-out or stronger northerly surge could push readings lower, but model agreement and current boundary-layer moisture make such a shift unlikely before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日倫敦的最低溫度?
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,464 交易量
$19,464 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,464 交易量
$19,464 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Met Office guidance and real-time observations indicate London’s overnight minimum on August 17 will settle near 19°C under a mild, humid airmass with light northerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble forecasts and station data from Heathrow and St James’s Park show temperatures bottoming out in the 17–20°C range after dawn, consistent with climatological August lows around 14–16°C yet elevated by recent southerly advection. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability on 19°C. A rapid clear-out or stronger northerly surge could push readings lower, but model agreement and current boundary-layer moisture make such a shift unlikely before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions