Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position London’s maximum temperature on August 17 near 25–27 °C under high pressure with hazy sunshine and light southerly flow. Increasing cloud cover and a shift toward cooler Atlantic air are expected to cap readings at official stations such as Heathrow or St James’s Park, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after mid-week peaks near 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture further tighten the probable range, supporting the market’s emphasis on 26 °C (39.5 %) followed by 25 °C (27.5 %) and 27 °C (21.0 %). Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月17日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 40%
25°C 28%
27°C 21%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
28%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 28%
27°C 21%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
20°C或以下
$238 交易量
<1%
21°C
$125 交易量
<1%
22°C
$112 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,144 交易量
1%
24°C
$545 交易量
7%
25°C
$2,460 交易量
28%
26°C
$1,470 交易量
40%
27°C
$2,119 交易量
21%
28°C
$813 交易量
6%
29°C
$414 交易量
2%
30°C或以上
$272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position London’s maximum temperature on August 17 near 25–27 °C under high pressure with hazy sunshine and light southerly flow. Increasing cloud cover and a shift toward cooler Atlantic air are expected to cap readings at official stations such as Heathrow or St James’s Park, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after mid-week peaks near 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture further tighten the probable range, supporting the market’s emphasis on 26 °C (39.5 %) followed by 25 °C (27.5 %) and 27 °C (21.0 %). Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$9,712結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position London’s maximum temperature on August 17 near 25–27 °C under high pressure with hazy sunshine and light southerly flow. Increasing cloud cover and a shift toward cooler Atlantic air are expected to cap readings at official stations such as Heathrow or St James’s Park, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after mid-week peaks near 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture further tighten the probable range, supporting the market’s emphasis on 26 °C (39.5 %) followed by 25 °C (27.5 %) and 27 °C (21.0 %). Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,712結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETCurrent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position London’s maximum temperature on August 17 near 25–27 °C under high pressure with hazy sunshine and light southerly flow. Increasing cloud cover and a shift toward cooler Atlantic air are expected to cap readings at official stations such as Heathrow or St James’s Park, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after mid-week peaks near 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture further tighten the probable range, supporting the market’s emphasis on 26 °C (39.5 %) followed by 25 °C (27.5 %) and 27 °C (21.0 %). Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions