Recent model runs and ensemble guidance point to a peak temperature near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on August 18, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and scattered afternoon thundershowers are expected to limit full solar heating while urban heat-island effects and light easterly flow sustain warmth. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima of 31–33°C, yet current anomalies favor slightly above-normal values before any cooling rain arrives. Key resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of convection, which can shift observed highs by 1–2°C. Updated short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional ensembles will refine the outlook ahead of the daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日廣州最高溫度?
35°C 38%
34°C 29%
36°C 20%
33°C 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
29%
35°C
38%
36°C
20%
37°C或以上
3%
35°C 38%
34°C 29%
36°C 20%
33°C 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
29%
35°C
38%
36°C
20%
37°C或以上
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs and ensemble guidance point to a peak temperature near 34–35°C in Guangzhou on August 18, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and scattered afternoon thundershowers are expected to limit full solar heating while urban heat-island effects and light easterly flow sustain warmth. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima of 31–33°C, yet current anomalies favor slightly above-normal values before any cooling rain arrives. Key resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of convection, which can shift observed highs by 1–2°C. Updated short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional ensembles will refine the outlook ahead of the daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions