Official meteorological observations from the National Weather Service at Los Angeles International Airport established a daily maximum of 76–77°F on August 16, 2026, locking in the market-implied outcome at 100% implied probability. This consensus reflects verified station data under standard resolution protocols rather than forecasts, with surrounding conditions including typical marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow keeping temperatures near seasonal norms for mid-August. Traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment aligns with the absence of anomalous heat or cold advection. Only post hoc issues such as station data revisions or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
8月16日洛杉磯的最高溫度？
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$37,606 交易量
$37,606 交易量
2026-08-16
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或以上
否
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$37,606 交易量
$37,606 交易量
2026-08-16
67°F或以下
$107 交易量
否
68-69°F
$464 交易量
否
70-71°F
$626 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,829 交易量
否
74-75°F
$9,093 交易量
否
76-77°F
$7,700 交易量
是
78-79°F
$6,690 交易量
否
80-81°F
$1,803 交易量
否
82-83°F
$3,958 交易量
否
84-85°F
$2,216 交易量
否
86°F或以上
$3,120 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from the National Weather Service at Los Angeles International Airport established a daily maximum of 76–77°F on August 16, 2026, locking in the market-implied outcome at 100% implied probability. This consensus reflects verified station data under standard resolution protocols rather than forecasts, with surrounding conditions including typical marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow keeping temperatures near seasonal norms for mid-August. Traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment aligns with the absence of anomalous heat or cold advection. Only post hoc issues such as station data revisions or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this site.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$37,606結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from the National Weather Service at Los Angeles International Airport established a daily maximum of 76–77°F on August 16, 2026, locking in the market-implied outcome at 100% implied probability. This consensus reflects verified station data under standard resolution protocols rather than forecasts, with surrounding conditions including typical marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow keeping temperatures near seasonal norms for mid-August. Traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment aligns with the absence of anomalous heat or cold advection. Only post hoc issues such as station data revisions or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this site.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,606結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations from the National Weather Service at Los Angeles International Airport established a daily maximum of 76–77°F on August 16, 2026, locking in the market-implied outcome at 100% implied probability. This consensus reflects verified station data under standard resolution protocols rather than forecasts, with surrounding conditions including typical marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow keeping temperatures near seasonal norms for mid-August. Traders’ skin-in-the-game assessment aligns with the absence of anomalous heat or cold advection. Only post hoc issues such as station data revisions or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions