Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strong subtropical ridge suppressing afternoon convection over South Florida, favoring fuller solar insolation and peak temperatures in the upper 90s on August 18. This setup, combined with southeasterly flow and typical late-summer moisture profiles, reduces the usual cooling effect of the sea breeze and isolated thunderstorms that have capped recent highs near 93–94°F. Historical August maxima average around 89–91°F, but ongoing ridging and limited cloud cover have already produced above-normal readings this week. Updated NHC and local office briefings on instability and boundary-layer mixing will be key near-term catalysts for any forecast shifts within the 96–99°F range that currently dominates trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日邁阿密的最高溫度?
98-99°F 60%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 10%
102-103°F 5%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
60%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 60%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 10%
102-103°F 5%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
60%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strong subtropical ridge suppressing afternoon convection over South Florida, favoring fuller solar insolation and peak temperatures in the upper 90s on August 18. This setup, combined with southeasterly flow and typical late-summer moisture profiles, reduces the usual cooling effect of the sea breeze and isolated thunderstorms that have capped recent highs near 93–94°F. Historical August maxima average around 89–91°F, but ongoing ridging and limited cloud cover have already produced above-normal readings this week. Updated NHC and local office briefings on instability and boundary-layer mixing will be key near-term catalysts for any forecast shifts within the 96–99°F range that currently dominates trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions