Recent ensemble forecasts from global and Chinese Meteorological Administration models indicate a highest temperature in coastal Qingdao on August 19 most likely between 30–31°C, shaped by persistent marine air from the Yellow Sea, moderate sea breezes, and widespread cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs range 29–31°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around these values because any reduction in cloudiness or shift in steering flow could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C, while stronger onshore flow would favor 29°C or below. Model runs over the next 48 hours, including updated boundary-layer and sea-surface temperature data, will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日青島氣溫最高？
8月19日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 35%
30°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
32%
31°C
35%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C或以下
$22 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10 交易量
3%
28°C
$420 交易量
3%
29°C
$71 交易量
16%
30°C
$1,692 交易量
32%
31°C
$1,085 交易量
35%
32°C
$82 交易量
12%
33°C
$6 交易量
5%
34°C
$90 交易量
2%
35°C
$153 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$186 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and Chinese Meteorological Administration models indicate a highest temperature in coastal Qingdao on August 19 most likely between 30–31°C, shaped by persistent marine air from the Yellow Sea, moderate sea breezes, and widespread cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs range 29–31°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around these values because any reduction in cloudiness or shift in steering flow could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C, while stronger onshore flow would favor 29°C or below. Model runs over the next 48 hours, including updated boundary-layer and sea-surface temperature data, will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,817結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and Chinese Meteorological Administration models indicate a highest temperature in coastal Qingdao on August 19 most likely between 30–31°C, shaped by persistent marine air from the Yellow Sea, moderate sea breezes, and widespread cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs range 29–31°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around these values because any reduction in cloudiness or shift in steering flow could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C, while stronger onshore flow would favor 29°C or below. Model runs over the next 48 hours, including updated boundary-layer and sea-surface temperature data, will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,817結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global and Chinese Meteorological Administration models indicate a highest temperature in coastal Qingdao on August 19 most likely between 30–31°C, shaped by persistent marine air from the Yellow Sea, moderate sea breezes, and widespread cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs range 29–31°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus clusters around these values because any reduction in cloudiness or shift in steering flow could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C, while stronger onshore flow would favor 29°C or below. Model runs over the next 48 hours, including updated boundary-layer and sea-surface temperature data, will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions