Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting model consensus, including recent ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Paris on August 17 under veiling cloud cover and light southerly winds. A persistent upper-level ridge has sustained elevated temperatures across much of western Europe amid the ongoing mid-August heat dome, yet increasing Atlantic moisture and partial cloudiness are limiting further intensification over northern France. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 24–26°C, making the current setup notably warmer but moderated relative to southern regions exceeding 35–40°C. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, concentrating probability on 28–29°C while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Final resolution depends on the official observed maximum reported by Météo-France tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日巴黎最高溫度?
29°C 56%
28°C 26%
30°C 14%
27°C 5%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
26%
29°C
56%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 56%
28°C 26%
30°C 14%
27°C 5%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
26%
29°C
56%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting model consensus, including recent ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Paris on August 17 under veiling cloud cover and light southerly winds. A persistent upper-level ridge has sustained elevated temperatures across much of western Europe amid the ongoing mid-August heat dome, yet increasing Atlantic moisture and partial cloudiness are limiting further intensification over northern France. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 24–26°C, making the current setup notably warmer but moderated relative to southern regions exceeding 35–40°C. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, concentrating probability on 28–29°C while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Final resolution depends on the official observed maximum reported by Météo-France tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions